Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.384210 0.419528 0.457668 0.502090 0.552631 0.608605 0.675646
2025-08-10 0.314659 0.361557 0.415941 0.484373 0.569197 0.672264 0.809151
2025-08-17 0.275536 0.327540 0.390829 0.474903 0.585830 0.730446 0.939015
2025-08-24 0.248533 0.303123 0.372058 0.467613 0.600204 0.783522 1.067515
2025-08-31 0.227797 0.283655 0.356350 0.460753 0.611983 0.832111 1.196003
2025-09-07 0.215062 0.272988 0.350527 0.465701 0.639641 0.906139 1.377141
2025-09-14 0.200176 0.257913 0.336923 0.457470 0.645786 0.946842 1.510259
2025-09-21 0.189501 0.247656 0.328938 0.456227 0.661833 1.004944 1.686416
2025-09-28 0.176863 0.233651 0.314317 0.443214 0.656954 1.026097 1.796012
2025-10-05 0.173392 0.232440 0.318181 0.459045 0.701363 1.140885 2.125956
2025-10-12 0.168976 0.229459 0.319015 0.469868 0.738232 1.247856 2.472572
2025-10-19 0.162810 0.223426 0.314631 0.471484 0.758541 1.325645 2.775803
2025-10-26 0.153453 0.212275 0.301869 0.458434 0.751359 1.348473 2.954619
2025-11-02 0.144579 0.201452 0.289047 0.444376 0.740988 1.363682 3.122255
2025-11-09 0.137666 0.193293 0.279984 0.436135 0.740967 1.401898 3.373537
2025-11-16 0.131681 0.186261 0.272300 0.429663 0.743635 1.446783 3.666267
2025-11-23 0.126238 0.179805 0.265160 0.423554 0.746253 1.492075 3.983136
2025-11-30 0.123128 0.176908 0.263772 0.427963 0.771574 1.599126 4.582459
2025-12-07 0.118173 0.170778 0.256523 0.420628 0.770419 1.637323 4.938562
2025-12-14 0.114613 0.166761 0.252670 0.419520 0.783010 1.715568 5.517539
2025-12-21 0.109564 0.160068 0.243809 0.407912 0.770245 1.720094 5.765534
2025-12-28 0.108935 0.160672 0.247756 0.422033 0.819286 1.916345 7.129848
2026-01-04 0.107614 0.160036 0.249435 0.431675 0.859041 2.096705 8.632040